Segunda Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Rampla Juniors vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 1
DEP
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ATE
2 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
JUN
2 - 3
ROC
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAN
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HFC
1 - 3
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
CAN
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
HFC
0 - 1
ROC
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
JUN
2 - 3
ROC
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
BOS
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 2
ROC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |