Rakvere JK Tarvas vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis

Rakvere JK Tarvas Vaprus Pärnu
47 ELO 34
11.9% Tilt 4.7%
4243º General ELO ranking 2789º
24º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
77%
Rakvere JK Tarvas
14.1%
Draw
8.9%
Vaprus Pärnu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
Rakvere JK Tarvas
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.9%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rakvere JK Tarvas
+9%
-9%
Vaprus Pärnu

ELO progression

Rakvere JK Tarvas
Vaprus Pärnu
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rakvere JK Tarvas
Rakvere JK Tarvas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2019
TAM
Tammeka II
2 - 0
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
56%
22%
22%
48 50 2 0
10 Mar. 2019
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
1 - 0
Levadia Tallinn II
LEV
23%
23%
54%
47 57 10 +1
27 Jan. 2019
RAK
Rakvere JK Tarvas
3 - 0
Tartu Welco
WEL
62%
20%
18%
46 41 5 +1
11 Nov. 2018
LEV
Levadia Tallinn II
2 - 1
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
70%
18%
12%
47 56 9 -1
04 Nov. 2018
FCE
FC Elva
4 - 2
Rakvere JK Tarvas
RAK
51%
24%
25%
49 51 2 -2

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2019
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
1 - 0
Alliance FC
JKJ
16%
20%
64%
30 52 22 0
09 Mar. 2019
TJK
TJK Legion
2 - 0
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
86%
10%
5%
31 57 26 -1
18 Jan. 2019
TAL
Tallinna Kalev
6 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
78%
14%
8%
30 53 23 +1
10 Nov. 2018
KUR
Kuressaare
2 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
84%
9%
7%
31 39 8 -1
02 Nov. 2018
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 5
Nomme Kalju
KAL
7%
16%
77%
31 79 48 0