Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
8º
3º
29
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 63 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 36 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
26.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
WLO
2 - 3
RAK
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAK
1 - 1
KOR
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
RAK
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAK
1 - 0
STA
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 0
RAK
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
RAD
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 2
MOT
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
TER
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 3
MOT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
POG
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |