Rakovski 2011 vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rakovski 2011
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 3
RAK
9%
17%
74%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
RAK
5 - 1
ARK
75%
16%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 1
RAK
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RAK
3 - 1
ZAG
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ROZ
1 - 1
RAK
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
SEP
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
BDI
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 3
SEP
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SEP
5 - 3
SLI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
AKA
2 - 0
SEP
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |