CAF Champions Last 16
Global 2-2
Raja Casablanca vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
JSK
0 - 1
RCA
26%
31%
43%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
RCA
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 0
HAS
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DIF
1 - 0
RCA
37%
31%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 1
MAG
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
RCA
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ONZ
1 - 0
STA
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
CSK
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
STA
1 - 0
USF
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
BAK
0 - 2
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |