Raja Casablanca vs Olympic Safi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
15º
8º
29
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 52 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 48 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 36 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
1% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 92% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FUR
2 - 1
RCA
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 1
IRT
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 0
MAN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FAR
1 - 1
RCA
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
RCA
1 - 0
SUN
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Olympic Safi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
RSB
2 - 2
OLY
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
OLY
2 - 1
SCC
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
MOG
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
UTS
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
OLY
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |