Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Zemamra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
13º
15º
14º
4
9º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 10 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 10 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 10 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 8 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 8 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 7 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 7 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
3% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 5 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 4 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 4 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 3 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
59% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
IRT
3 - 1
RCA
41%
29%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RCA
0 - 1
RSB
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
RCA
2 - 1
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 3
MOU
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MOU
0 - 3
RCA
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Renaissance Zemamra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HAS
0 - 1
RKZ
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RKZ
1 - 2
DIF
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEK
1 - 1
RKZ
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
RSB
1 - 2
RKZ
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
RKZ
0 - 1
IRT
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |