Raja Casablanca vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raja Casablanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RCA
4 - 1
OLY
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
RCA
1 - 3
ATM
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WYD
0 - 3
RCA
33%
31%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 1
FAR
60%
24%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
RCA
2 - 1
MOG
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MOT
0 - 0
ASE
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 2
ASE
17%
24%
59%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASE
7 - 0
CFC
83%
13%
5%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AFA
2 - 1
ASE
49%
29%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASE
3 - 0
BAS
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |