Raith Rovers vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
COV
1 - 2
RAI
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
RAI
0 - 0
PAR
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 0
RAI
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
RAI
1 - 0
HIB
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 1
RAI
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
ROS
10%
16%
74%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
PET
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
DEV
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
BER
33%
24%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |