Raith Rovers vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
10º
7º
31
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAI
2 - 0
QUE
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RAI
0 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RAI
6 - 1
COV
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GLA
3 - 0
RAI
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
RAI
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
7 - 0
HAM
70%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RAI
0 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
AYR
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 4
QUE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |