Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
10º
7º
55
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RAI
0 - 1
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COV
2 - 0
RAI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
3 - 0
RAI
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 0
RAI
12%
20%
69%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 1
STI
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
COV
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 1
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
GRE
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CLY
2 - 0
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |