Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FAL
3 - 0
RAI
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 4
RAI
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
RAI
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
AYR
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
HAM
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 2
DUN
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 0
DUN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
AIR
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ALL
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |