Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
6º
2º
44
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
RAI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 5
HIB
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
QUE
0 - 0
RAI
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
RAI
47%
25%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
2 - 1
AIR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AYR
1 - 2
QUE
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 2
AYR
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
AYR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
AYR
4 - 3
PAR
24%
25%
52%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |