Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 3
RAI
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
RAI
3 - 0
STR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 2
RAI
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
AIR
2 - 2
RAI
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
AYR
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
STR
1 - 5
AYR
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
AYR
2 - 3
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
AIR
2 - 0
AYR
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 4
AYR
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |