Raith Rovers vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
QOS
1 - 0
RAI
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RAI
5 - 0
GRE
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 1
PAR
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 1
RAI
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIV
4 - 0
RAI
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AYR
0 - 2
HIB
36%
24%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AYR
1 - 0
FAL
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AYR
2 - 3
ROS
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AYR
3 - 1
LIV
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |