Rain / Lech vs Würzburger Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
SEL
3 - 0
RAI
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
1 - 1
RAI
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
4 - 0
VIK
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAI
2 - 0
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ISM
5 - 1
RAI
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Würzburger Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WUR
1 - 1
VIK
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
WUR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
WUR
0 - 5
ISM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WUR
2 - 1
BAY
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +3 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EIN
2 - 2
WUR
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |