Rain / Lech vs SV Erlbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
16º
17º
37
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
RAI
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 0
KOT
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 3
TSA
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 2
RAI
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
RAI
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
RAI
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
ERL
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 1
186
47%
27%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DEI
2 - 1
ERL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ERL
1 - 0
KSC
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |