Rain / Lech vs Schweinfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BAY
5 - 3
RAI
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAD
3 - 2
RAI
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RAI
2 - 2
ERB
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SEL
3 - 1
RAI
45%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
RAI
3 - 1
TSG
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Schweinfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 4
BAD
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ERB
1 - 1
SCH
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 2
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TSG
4 - 1
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAY
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |