Regionalliga - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 3-4
Rain / Lech vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 3
PUL
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 0
KOR
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
TSA
0 - 0
RAI
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 1
KOT
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
186
2 - 1
RAI
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
MEM
3 - 1
SCH
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ROS
1 - 4
MEM
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
EIC
2 - 2
MEM
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
MEM
1 - 1
BUC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
MEM
3 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |