Rain / Lech vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
16º
17º
34
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 0
RAI
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
186
3 - 1
RAI
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RAI
2 - 3
ISM
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HEI
5 - 1
RAI
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 1
RAI
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
1 - 3
KIR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 2
FCP
42%
24%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
4 - 2
KOT
29%
22%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 1
KOT
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
KOT
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |