Rain / Lech vs Kirchanschöring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
14º
11º
43
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 0
ERL
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KOT
0 - 1
RAI
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TSA
5 - 0
RAI
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 3
186
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 2
RAI
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchanschöring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSA
5 - 0
KIR
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KIR
0 - 0
186
26%
24%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 1
KIR
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 0
KSC
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 0
KIR
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |