Rain / Lech vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SCH
6 - 0
RAI
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RAI
3 - 2
ROS
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
RAI
4 - 2
WAC
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
RAI
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
AUB
2 - 1
RAI
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 2
WAC
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 0
HEI
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 1
AUB
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EIC
5 - 2
HEI
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TAM
4 - 0
HEI
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |