Rain / Lech vs Erlangen-Bruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 2
RAI
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
RAI
1 - 0
ROS
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAY
1 - 3
RAI
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
RAI
0 - 0
TSV
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ING
1 - 2
RAI
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Erlangen-Bruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ERB
0 - 0
BUC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ERB
3 - 1
ANS
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
BAD
2 - 0
ERB
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
ERB
1 - 1
WUR
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ANS
1 - 1
ERB
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |