Rain / Lech vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
SEL
1 - 0
RAI
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
0 - 2
ERB
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 0
RAI
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
RAI
2 - 2
UNT
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ROS
4 - 0
RAI
63%
20%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ELT
4 - 2
ISM
19%
21%
61%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
EIN
3 - 4
ELT
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
SEL
1 - 1
ELT
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ELT
3 - 0
ERB
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
BAY
3 - 0
ELT
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |