Rain / Lech vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ILL
3 - 2
RAI
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
RAI
1 - 1
AMB
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
AUG
3 - 1
RAI
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
RAI
2 - 1
SCH
28%
24%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
RAI
1 - 4
MEM
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 2
BUC
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
186
4 - 0
BAY
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAY
3 - 2
UNT
23%
25%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BAY
2 - 0
ILL
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AMB
0 - 3
BAY
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |