Rain / Lech vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
SEL
1 - 0
RAI
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
RAI
3 - 1
TSV
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 2
RAI
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
UNT
0 - 1
RAI
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
RAI
4 - 1
MEM
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
BAY
4 - 0
BUC
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 1
BAY
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
ING
0 - 3
BAY
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BAY
1 - 0
TSV
32%
26%
42%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |