Rain / Lech vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAY
3 - 1
RAI
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
RAI
2 - 2
ILL
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AMB
1 - 0
RAI
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
RAI
1 - 3
AUG
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 2
RAI
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
186
0 - 1
BUC
47%
24%
28%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UNT
1 - 1
186
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BAY
0 - 4
186
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
186
0 - 1
ILL
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AMB
2 - 0
186
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |