Rafelbuñol vs Alfara del Patriarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
75.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+435%
+166%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rafelbuñol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
3 - 0
RAF
23%
19%
58%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
IND
3 - 1
RAF
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
2 - 0
BIE
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PUZ
0 - 6
RAF
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MSR
1 - 3
RAF
47%
20%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Alfara del Patriarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ADP
5 - 0
MSR
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 0
VFB
89%
7%
4%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BIM
1 - 3
ADP
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ADP
1 - 3
CON
70%
15%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 4
ADP
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |