Radomiak Radom vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
6º
17º
9º
17
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 56 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 55 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
7% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 52 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 51 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 50 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 46 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
4.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 41 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 40 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 38 |
18º
|
17% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 7.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radomiak Radom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 1
RAD
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 0
KOR
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 0
RAD
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
OPR
1 - 2
RAD
4%
9%
88%
|
76 | 18 | 58 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 1
CRA
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MIE
0 - 0
RAK
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAK
5 - 1
ZAL
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
0 - 1
RAK
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RAK
0 - 1
PGL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 2
RAK
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |