Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
8º
8º
8º
48
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
39 | 13 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 0
RAD
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 2
RAD
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 2
CRV
8%
18%
75%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 1
RAD
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 4
VOJ
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 1
VOZ
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
NPA
2 - 2
RAD
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
RAD
3 - 1
NPA
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
NPA
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 4
BAC
21%
25%
54%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |