Radnik Surdulica vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
1 - 3
VOZ
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 0
RAD
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
2 - 0
RAD
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
0 - 1
RNS
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
ČUK
1 - 1
RAD
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
RAD
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
CRV
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 7
CRV
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRV
3 - 1
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
LUD
0 - 1
CRV
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |