Sremska Mitrovica vs Železničar Pancevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
15º
6º
56
1º
15º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sremska Mitrovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
RSM
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
2 - 0
RAD
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
LOZ
1 - 0
RSM
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 0
MAV
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RSM
0 - 0
VRS
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Železničar Pancevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZEL
4 - 1
MET
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
INI
4 - 1
ZEL
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
ZEL
3 - 0
RNB
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 2
ZEL
22%
28%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZEL
1 - 3
GRA
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |