Europa League 1/16
Global 3-1
Radnicki Nis vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnicki Nis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BER
0 - 1
RAD
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
RAD
4 - 1
LAS
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
LAS
1 - 2
RAD
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
SLI
0 - 2
BER
40%
27%
34%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
BER
4 - 1
BVR
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BER
0 - 1
RAD
74%
14%
12%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
AKA
3 - 2
BER
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
BER
4 - 2
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |