Radnički Kragujevac vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
12º
3º
33
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
98.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnički Kragujevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 0
BEO
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 1
DVS
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 1
OLY
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
4 - 1
RAD
33%
25%
43%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
VOJ
3 - 2
RAD
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ČUK
0 - 0
MLA
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FCB
3 - 0
MLA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
MLA
1 - 3
SIG
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MLA
0 - 2
KAR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GLO
4 - 3
MLA
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |