Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
12º
5º
19
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 63 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 55 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
78% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnički Kragujevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BEO
3 - 5
RAD
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 2
VOJ
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
4 - 0
RAD
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
RAD
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 0
BOG
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 1
CRV
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ČUK
1 - 4
CRV
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRV
4 - 1
NPA
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 4
CRV
10%
19%
70%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |