Radnički Kragujevac vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnički Kragujevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MLA
0 - 0
RAD
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RAD
0 - 0
BEO
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
RAD
0 - 3
JAG
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 0
RAD
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ČUK
4 - 1
RAD
61%
25%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CRV
0 - 0
ČUK
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 2
CRV
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 0
CRV
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CRV
1 - 0
FKD
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRV
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |