Radian-Baykal vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radian-Baykal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 1
AMU
71%
17%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
RAD
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SIB
0 - 0
RAD
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 2
YAK
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
YAK
1 - 1
RAD
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
SME
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SME
0 - 1
KUK
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SME
0 - 1
MET
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 0
SME
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SME
0 - 0
AMU
69%
19%
11%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |