Radian-Baykal vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radian-Baykal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
RAD
3 - 0
AMU
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
RAD
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SIB
0 - 2
RAD
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RAD
1 - 1
YAK
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
RAD
1 - 1
FCC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
SME
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SME
1 - 0
KUK
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SME
1 - 2
MET
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 0
SME
12%
21%
67%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAK
2 - 1
SME
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |