Rad Beograd vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
JAV
1 - 0
RAD
36%
32%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 2
FKS
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VOJ
0 - 2
RAD
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
HAJ
1 - 0
RAD
33%
31%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 4
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SME
0 - 2
PAR
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 0
SME
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SME
0 - 1
BEO
38%
30%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SLO
2 - 1
SME
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SME
2 - 0
NPA
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |