Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Racing vs Zamora CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RAC
3 - 1
VCF
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 2
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SEV
3 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 0
RAY
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
RAC
3 - 0
CUL
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CAU
67%
23%
10%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MIR
1 - 0
ZAM
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CUL
40%
33%
27%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
RUN
1 - 1
ZAM
67%
22%
11%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ZAM
3 - 2
ENS
42%
32%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |