Racing vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
FCB
4 - 2
RAC
83%
10%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
RAC
2 - 2
RUN
59%
18%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
ARE
3 - 1
RAC
57%
18%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
RAC
2 - 1
ESP
46%
22%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
ALA
1 - 2
RAC
36%
20%
44%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
RSO
7 - 1
VCF
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
38%
23%
40%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1931 |
VCF
5 - 1
RUN
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1931 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |