Racing vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.5%
5.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
58%
19%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
OSA
0 - 2
RAC
47%
22%
32%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RAC
7 - 2
SAB
64%
18%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
BAD
2 - 3
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
ZAR
41%
22%
37%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SGL
1 - 2
NUM
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
0 - 1
RCF
42%
20%
38%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
LLE
9 - 2
SGL
56%
20%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SGL
2 - 1
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |