Racing vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
RAC
69%
16%
15%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
RAC
5 - 2
GIR
73%
15%
12%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ARO
1 - 4
RAC
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
RAC
2 - 0
RCF
64%
17%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
RAC
5 - 1
LEV
53%
20%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 0
NUM
61%
19%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 0
SDE
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
SDE
1 - 0
OSA
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
SAB
11 - 1
SDE
85%
9%
5%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
LOG
2 - 0
SDE
62%
19%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |