Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-1
Racing vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
3.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 1
RAC
19%
19%
61%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
RAC
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
71%
15%
14%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
BET
2 - 1
RAC
48%
21%
31%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 2
ATM
58%
19%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 1
RAC
19%
19%
61%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SDE
4 - 0
SSC
46%
22%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ARE
0 - 4
SDE
82%
11%
7%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +3 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
OSA
2 - 1
SDE
91%
6%
3%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
SDE
1 - 0
ALA
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |