Racing vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 3
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
CUL
1 - 0
RAC
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
2 - 0
CEL
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ZAR
3 - 2
SEV
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
RAY
1 - 0
ZAR
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
ZAR
1 - 1
HUE
89%
7%
3%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ZAR
4 - 0
RSO
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
ZAR
1 - 2
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |