Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-6
Racing vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
8 - 0
RAC
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
RSO
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SEV
3 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RAC
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
OSA
5 - 1
ZAR
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |