Racing vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
RAC
2 - 2
GRA
47%
22%
31%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
LEV
6 - 0
RAC
52%
20%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
RAC
0 - 1
GIM
65%
17%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
MLL
3 - 2
RAC
40%
23%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
GRA
2 - 1
ZAR
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ZAR
0 - 2
GIM
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
BAR
4 - 0
ZAR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RCF
66%
18%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
RCD
0 - 1
ZAR
51%
22%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |