Racing vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
RSO
4 - 2
RAC
78%
13%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALC
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
MLL
5 - 2
RAC
44%
22%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RAC
1 - 4
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
SDC
0 - 1
RAC
63%
19%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1944 |
ZAR
4 - 0
CUL
77%
14%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1944 |
CEL
3 - 1
ZAR
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1944 |
ZAR
7 - 1
BET
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
BAR
3 - 1
ZAR
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ZAR
5 - 1
CON
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |