Racing vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEP
7 - 0
RAC
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 1
VAD
88%
8%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OSA
0 - 2
RAC
53%
20%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 0
ARE
81%
11%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 2
RMA
36%
22%
43%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
RUN
0 - 0
SLA
66%
17%
18%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 3
RUN
56%
19%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
RUN
1 - 5
SPO
52%
22%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RCF
2 - 3
RUN
55%
20%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
OSA
4 - 1
RUN
83%
10%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |