Racing vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
RCF
2 - 1
RAC
32%
23%
45%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
SLA
1 - 5
RAC
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 2
BAR
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
34%
23%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
RUN
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
RSO
3 - 1
SLA
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
BAR
3 - 3
RSO
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
RSO
2 - 1
SPO
66%
18%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
RUN
1 - 6
RSO
47%
23%
31%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
RSO
4 - 2
DEP
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |